Masr vs El Geish: prediction and stats
League CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Masr the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for El Geish. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Masr vs El Geish?
Masr starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Masr vs El Geish
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Masr
4-1-4-1- 11Abdelrahman El Banouby
- 10Mostafa Saad
- 74M. Ouka
- 19Mohamed Ezz
- 18Ahmed El Sageery
- 33Mohamed Ibrahim
- 26Mohamed Rabia
- 23T. Alaa
- 3Abdallah Bakri
- 34M. Mohamed
- 1Aly Lotfy
El Geish
4-4-2- 9Fares Hatem
- 28I. Ouro-Agoro
- 30Mohamed Atef
- 25Ahmed Tarek
- 32Yehia Mostafa
- 22Mostafa Khawaga
- 4Mohamed Fathallah
- 24Z. Mohamed
- 3Amro Tarek
- 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
- 1Omar Radwan
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Masr have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; El Geish have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | El Mokawloon(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ASAS(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Masr wins, 2 draws, 1 El Geish win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | El Geish 0-1 Masr | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Masr 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | El Geish 1-3 Masr | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | El Geish 2-2 Masr | Premier League |
| May 2, 2025 | Masr 0-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | El Geish 1-0 Masr | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Masr score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Geish score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masr | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| El Geish | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Masr vs El Geish?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Masr vs El Geish?
- The Footlab AI model makes Masr the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for El Geish.
- Where and when is Masr vs El Geish played?
- Masr vs El Geish is played on December 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.