Mbarara City vs UPDF: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 3, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs UPDF?
UPDF won 0-1 on October 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 68′Samuel SsekamatteUPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; UPDF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Police(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Express(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Lugazi(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Wakiso Giants(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Express(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | BUL(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbarara City wins, 2 draws, 4 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | Mbarara City 0-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
| UPDF | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Mbarara City vs UPDF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy