Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United: result 1-1 and analysis
A-LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 4, 2023 at 08:45 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United drew 1-1 on November 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′B. FornaroliMelbourne Victory
- 59′H. IbusukiAdelaide United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Adelaide United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Newcastle Jets(home) | 5-3 | A-League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sydney(away) | 2-0 | A-League |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 2-2 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 0-1 | A-League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Macarthur(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Melbourne City(home) | 6-0 | A-League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 3-0 | A-League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 1-5 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Northcote City(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 20, 2023 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Melbourne Victory win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Adelaide United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Melbourne Victory 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Adelaide United 1-1 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Adelaide United 3-0 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Adelaide United 0-1 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Melbourne Victory 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 5, 2022 | Adelaide United 1-2 Melbourne Victory | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United on Feb 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 2.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Adelaide United | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne Victory sit 4th in A-League (40 points from 26 matches) and Adelaide United sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy