Melfi vs USD Palmese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab AI model makes Melfi the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for USD Palmese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melfi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs USD Palmese?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Melfi (1,517) and USD Palmese (1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melfi vs USD Palmese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
USD Palmese
Not enough data to predict the USD Palmese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; USD Palmese have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; USD Palmese score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| USD Palmese | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 18th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 7 matches) and USD Palmese sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | USD Palmese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Melfi vs USD Palmese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs USD Palmese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melfi the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for USD Palmese.
- Where and when is Melfi vs USD Palmese played?
- Melfi vs USD Palmese is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.