Ebolitana vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ebolitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gravina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,065 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebolitana vs Gravina?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Ebolitana (1,686) and Gravina (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebolitana vs Gravina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebolitana
Not enough data to predict the Ebolitana lineup.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Ebolitana have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Gravina have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Ebolitana score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Gravina score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebolitana | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
| Gravina | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebolitana sit 13th in Serie D - Girone H (8 points from 8 matches) and Gravina sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 13 | Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Ebolitana vs Gravina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebolitana vs Gravina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Ebolitana.
- Where and when is Ebolitana vs Gravina played?
- Ebolitana vs Gravina is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.