Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
The Footlab model makes Merani Martvili the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Kolkheti Poti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Merani Martvili (1,427) and Kolkheti Poti (1,422).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Martvili have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kolkheti Poti have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Telavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Gori(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gareji(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 0-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merani Martvili win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kolkheti Poti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Merani Martvili 1-0 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti 5-1 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kolkheti Poti 2-0 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Merani Martvili 0-4 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 23, 2023 | Kolkheti Poti 3-0 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Merani Martvili 1-2 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merani Martvili score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kolkheti Poti score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Martvili | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kolkheti Poti | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merani Martvili sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (31 points from 22 matches) and Kolkheti Poti sit 10th (19 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti?
- The Footlab model makes Merani Martvili the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Kolkheti Poti.
- Where and when is Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti played?
- Merani Martvili vs Kolkheti Poti is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.