Samtredia vs Telavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, Samtredia
The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Telavi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samtredia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samtredia vs Telavi?
On Elo ratings, Samtredia has 1,547 points and Telavi 1,548.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samtredia vs Telavi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samtredia
4-3-3- 10J. Cordero
- 20O. Gagnidze
- 11T. Odikadze
- 7G. Manjgaladze
- 37D. Gvasalia
- 31L. Tsulaia
- 16D. Dobranskyi
- 33G. Latsabidze
- 15G. Kveladze
- 19T. Jangidze
- 12V. Lazarevs
Telavi
4-3-3- 33G. Kharebashvili
- 10G. Nikabadze
- 16D. Skhirtladze
- 13N. Galakhvaridze
- 8A. Devdariani
- 19D. Kutalia
- 23A. Datuashvili
- 11T. Zhividze
- 25D. Izotov
- 5P. Gabitashvili
- 12G. Chikashua
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samtredia have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Telavi have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 5-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 6-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(away) | 4-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gori(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Samtredia(home) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Samtredia wins, 1 draw, 3 Telavi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Telavi 0-3 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Samtredia 0-3 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Telavi 2-0 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Telavi 5-2 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Samtredia 2-1 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 28, 2024 | Telavi 0-0 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Samtredia score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Telavi score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samtredia | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Telavi | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samtredia sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (40 points from 28 matches) and Telavi sit 3rd (43 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Telavi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | Samtredia | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 40 |
A question about Samtredia vs Telavi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samtredia vs Telavi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Telavi.
- Where and when is Samtredia vs Telavi played?
- Samtredia vs Telavi is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.