Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Not enough data to predict the Ibiza Islas Pitiusas lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mercadal wins, 0 draws, 2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Mercadal 0-2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Mercadal on May 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mercadal score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercadal | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercadal sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played?
- Mercadal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.