Santanyí vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, Santanyí (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Platges Calvià. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santanyí wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santanyí vs Platges Calvià?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Santanyí (1,807) and Platges Calvià (1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santanyí vs Platges Calvià
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santanyí have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Platges Calvià have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santanyí win, 2 draws, 3 Platges Calvià wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Platges Calvià 0-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Santanyí 2-3 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 4, 2025 | Platges Calvià 2-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Santanyí 0-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Santanyí 0-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Platges Calvià 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Santanyí on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santanyí score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santanyí | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santanyí sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 6 matches) and Platges Calvià sit 1st (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges Calvià | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Santanyí vs Platges Calvià?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santanyí vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Platges Calvià.
- Where and when is Santanyí vs Platges Calvià played?
- Santanyí vs Platges Calvià is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.