Mercedes vs Lugano: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DClausura - 16Kick-off on October 9, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Liga Mercedes, Mercedes, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Mercedes vs Lugano?
Mercedes won 2-1 on October 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Mercedes
- 45′?Mercedes
- 55′?Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercedes have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lugano have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Central Ballester(home) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 2-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Juventud Unida(away) | 1-3 | Primera D |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 0-2 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2023 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Juventud Unida(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 0-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Centro Español(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 21, 2023 | El Porvenir(away) | 1-3 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mercedes win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Mercedes 1-2 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Lugano 3-0 Mercedes | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Mercedes score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lugano | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy