Lugano vs Mercedes: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DClausura - 5Kick-off on July 2, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs Mercedes?
Lugano won 2-1 on July 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′?Lugano
- 31′?Lugano
- 57′?Mercedes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mercedes have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2023 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 2-4 | Primera D |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Juventud Unida(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Jun 12, 2023 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Centro Español(home) | 2-2 | Primera D |
| May 28, 2023 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 3-1 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2023 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| May 28, 2023 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 0-3 | Primera D |
| May 20, 2023 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 4-2 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Lugano win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mercedes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Mercedes 1-2 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Lugano 3-0 Mercedes | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mercedes | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy