Merelbeke vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merelbeke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,836) and Tienen (1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Tienen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tienen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Merelbeke win, 2 draws, 2 Tienen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen 0-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Tienen 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Merelbeke 2-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Tienen 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tienen | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Tienen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Tienen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Tienen played?
- Merelbeke vs Tienen is played on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.