Merelbeke vs Zelzate: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Zelzate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merelbeke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Zelzate?
On Elo ratings, Merelbeke has 1,844 points and Zelzate 1,772.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Zelzate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Zelzate
Not enough data to predict the Zelzate lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Zelzate have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Merelbeke wins, 0 draws, 1 Zelzate win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Zelzate 2-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Merelbeke 2-0 Zelzate | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Zelzate 1-2 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Merelbeke 3-0 Zelzate | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Merelbeke 1-0 Zelzate | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Zelzate 2-3 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zelzate score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Zelzate | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Zelzate sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zelzate | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Zelzate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Zelzate?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Zelzate.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Zelzate played?
- Merelbeke vs Zelzate is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.