Harelbeke vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Forestiersstadion, Harelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harelbeke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Harelbeke (1,833) and Merelbeke (1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harelbeke vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harelbeke
4-3-3- 18J. Kasmi
- 30G. Kyeremeh
- 8P. Stiers
- 6O. Van Mol
- 10Z. Yagan
- 12L. Dewaele
- 4P. De Smet
- 23N. Vandenbroucke
- 5W. Coopman
- 3K. Van Damme
- 38A. Galens
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harelbeke have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Merelbeke have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 3-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harelbeke win, 1 draw, 4 Merelbeke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merelbeke 3-0 Harelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Merelbeke 4-0 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Harelbeke 2-0 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Harelbeke 0-2 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Merelbeke 1-1 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| May 1, 2022 | Merelbeke 3-2 Harelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Harelbeke on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harelbeke score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harelbeke | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Harelbeke vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harelbeke vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Harelbeke vs Merelbeke played?
- Harelbeke vs Merelbeke is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Forestiersstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.