Mandel United vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Heist. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mandel United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Heist?
On Elo ratings, Mandel United has 2,008 points and Heist 1,933.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mandel United vs Heist
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mandel United
Not enough data to predict the Mandel United lineup.
Heist
Not enough data to predict the Heist lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Heist have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mandel United wins, 0 draws, 4 Heist wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Mandel United 0-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Heist 4-1 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Mandel United 1-2 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Heist 4-0 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Mandel United vs Heist on May 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Heist | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mandel United vs Heist?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Heist?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Heist.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Heist played?
- Mandel United vs Heist is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.