Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merthyr Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883?
Merthyr Town starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Merthyr Town win, 1 draw, 1 Darlington 1883 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883 1-1 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Darlington 1883 3-1 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Merthyr Town 3-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 17th in National League - North (19 points from 16 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 22nd (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 12 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Merthyr Town vs Darlington 1883 is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Penydarren Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.