Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town played?

Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham

Darlington 1883

Merthyr Town

The Footlab model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,781) and Merthyr Town (1,873).

Darlington 1883 win37 %

Draw24 %

Merthyr Town win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Merthyr Town have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Darlington 1883
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Harborough Town(away)	2-4	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Chester(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	3-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Worksop Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Rotherham(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Merthyr Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Telford United(home)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Spennymoor Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hednesford Town(home)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Worcester City(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Darlington 1883 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Merthyr Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Darlington 1883 3-1 Merthyr Town	National League - North
Nov 1, 2025	Merthyr Town 3-1 Darlington 1883	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Darlington 1883	1.1	2.2	2	9/15	9/15
Merthyr Town	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Merthyr Town	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
19	Darlington 1883	4	1	0	3	6	9	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?: The Footlab model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Darlington 1883.
Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town played?: Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.