Merthyr Town vs Leamington: result 4-1 and analysis
National League - NorthNorth - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Leamington?
Merthyr Town won 4-1 on November 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′N. SmerdonMerthyr Town
- 55′N. SmerdonMerthyr Town
- 71′R. ReesMerthyr Town
- 76′R. ReesMerthyr Town
- 90′Sebastian Blake ThompsonLeamington
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Alfreton Town(home) | 6-2 | National League - North |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | South Shields(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bedford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Nov 4, 2025 | AFC Telford United(away) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Chester(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Marine(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 4, 2025 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Leamington | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2025Chester1-1Hereford
- Nov 25, 2025Southport2-0Radcliffe
- Nov 25, 2025AFC Fylde5-1Macclesfield
- Nov 25, 2025Chorley0-0Spennymoor Town
- Nov 25, 2025AFC Telford United4-0Oxford City
- Nov 25, 2025Worksop Town0-3South Shields
- Nov 25, 2025Marine2-0Kidderminster Harriers
- Nov 25, 2025Peterborough Sports3-1Bedford Town