Merthyr Town vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
The Footlab AI model makes South Shields the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Shields wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs South Shields?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merthyr Town vs South Shields
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
South Shields
4-3-3- 21C. Kelly
- 9P. Blackett
- 4Cain Sykes
- 19C. Scott
- 10W. Jenkins
- 30D. Carson
- 2R. Tinkler
- 5D. Morse
- 3Oliver Bainbridge
- 29Daniel Dodds
- 1J. Sheik
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; South Shields have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 3-4 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Merthyr Town win, 1 draw, 1 South Shields win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | South Shields 1-1 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Mar 21, 2026 | South Shields 4-1 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Merthyr Town 3-1 South Shields | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Merthyr Town on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| South Shields | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 19th in National League - North (16 points from 15 matches) and South Shields sit 1st (29 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs South Shields?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merthyr Town vs South Shields?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Shields the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Merthyr Town vs South Shields played?
- Merthyr Town vs South Shields is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Penydarren Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.