Spalding United vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spalding United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spalding United vs Chester?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Spalding United (1,945) and Chester (1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spalding United vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spalding United
Not enough data to predict the Spalding United lineup.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chester have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Spalding United wins, 0 draws, 1 Chester win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chester 1-0 Spalding United | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs Spalding United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spalding United score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spalding United sit 14th in National League - North (18 points from 13 matches) and Chester sit 5th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chester | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
| 14 | Spalding United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
A question about Spalding United vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chester.
- Where and when is Spalding United vs Chester played?
- Spalding United vs Chester is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.