Hereford vs Worksop Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Worksop Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hereford vs Worksop Town?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Hereford (1,797) and Worksop Town (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Worksop Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Hereford win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Worksop Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town 0-3 Hereford | National League - North |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Worksop Town 2-3 Hereford | National League - North |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Hereford 2-1 Worksop Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Hereford on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Worksop Town | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Worksop Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hereford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Worksop Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Worksop Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Worksop Town.
- Where and when is Hereford vs Worksop Town played?
- Hereford vs Worksop Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.