Merw vs Ahal: result 1-3 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on May 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
Full time
What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-3 on May 24, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ahal have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-7 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Nebitci(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merw win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ahal 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Merw 0-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ahal 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Merw 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ahal | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 8th in Ýokary Liga (11 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy