Merw vs Nebitci: result 4-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on April 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Nebitci?
Merw won 4-1 on April 11, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Nebitci have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 1-7 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ahal(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Ahal(away) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Ahal(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merw win, 2 draws, 3 Nebitci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Merw 1-2 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Nebitci 1-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Merw 0-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Nebitci 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Nebitci 1-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Merw 2-1 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nebitci score 0.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nebitci | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (18 points from 21 matches) and Nebitci sit 5th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nebitci | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 19 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Merw vs Nebitci?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy