Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Stadion Avanhard, Uzhhorod
The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Metal Kharkiv (1,630) and Nyva Ternopil (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metal Kharkiv have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nyva Ternopil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Metal Kharkiv win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nyva Ternopil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil 2-0 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Metal Kharkiv 1-2 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Metal Kharkiv 2-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Nyva Ternopil 1-1 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Metal Kharkiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Nyva Ternopil 0-1 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nyva Ternopil vs Metal Kharkiv on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metal Kharkiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metal Kharkiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metal Kharkiv sit 7th in Persha Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Nyva Ternopil sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metal Kharkiv | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
- The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil played?
- Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC) at Stadion Avanhard, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.