Polissya II vs Prykarpattia: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Prykarpattia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polissya II vs Prykarpattia?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Polissya II (1,654) and Prykarpattia (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polissya II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Prykarpattia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chernihiv(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Polissya II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Prykarpattia score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Prykarpattia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polissya II sit 15th in Persha Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Prykarpattia sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Prykarpattia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polissya II vs Prykarpattia?
- The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Prykarpattia.
- Where and when is Polissya II vs Prykarpattia played?
- Polissya II vs Prykarpattia is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.