Rebel vs Trostianets: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shkilnyi, Illichivsk
The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Rebel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rebel vs Trostianets?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Rebel (1,541) and Trostianets (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rebel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Trostianets have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 3-5 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Chayka(away) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonne(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lozova(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Hirnyk-Sport(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rebel win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Trostianets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Trostianets 1-2 Rebel | Druha Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rebel 0-0 Trostianets | Druha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Trostianets 1-1 Rebel | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rebel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trostianets score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebel | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Trostianets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rebel sit 7th in Druha Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Trostianets sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trostianets | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rebel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rebel vs Trostianets?
- The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Rebel.
- Where and when is Rebel vs Trostianets played?
- Rebel vs Trostianets is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shkilnyi, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.