Metz vs Grenoble: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Grenoble. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Grenoble?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Metz (1,844) and Grenoble (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metz vs Grenoble
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Grenoble
4-1-4-1- 12U. Bonnet
- 6Y. Magnin
- 10B. Mouazan
- 30S. Diba
- 92J. Akpa Akpro
- 14M. Corboz
- 5C. Vidal
- 27M. Xantippe
- 19N. Zahui
- 43A. Pelon
- 1A. Olliero
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Grenoble have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Metz wins, 2 draws, 1 Grenoble win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble 0-0 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Metz 3-0 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Grenoble 2-0 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| May 13, 2023 | Metz 1-0 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Grenoble 0-1 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 23, 2019 | Metz 1-1 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grenoble score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Grenoble | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 10th in Ligue 2 (10 points from 8 matches) and Grenoble sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Metz vs Grenoble?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Grenoble?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Grenoble.
- Where and when is Metz vs Grenoble played?
- Metz vs Grenoble is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.