Nantes vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nantes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs PAU?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Nantes (1,879) and PAU (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nantes vs PAU
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
PAU
5-3-2- 9B. Leye
- 7H. Benali
- 21J. Benet
- 6C. Fall
- 19T. Saettel
- 2T. Pouilly
- 29G. Paquiez
- 97A. Abdallah
- 23A. Briançon
- 88A. Bamba
- 1B. Maubleu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Nantes win, 0 draws, 0 PAU wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | PAU 1-4 Nantes | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| PAU | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 13th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and PAU sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Nantes vs PAU?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs PAU?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for PAU.
- Where and when is Nantes vs PAU played?
- Nantes vs PAU is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.