Match

Rodez vs Boulogne: prediction and stats

Ligue 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

RodezBoulogne

The Footlab AI model makes Rodez the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rodez wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rodez vs Boulogne?

Rodez starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,804).

42%28%30%
Rodez winDrawBoulogne win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rodez vs Boulogne

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rodez

5-3-2
  1. 7K. Nagera
  2. 9N. Nsingi
  1. 6J. Mendes
  2. 29Antonin Cartillier
  3. 10M. Saka
  1. 4M. Magnin
  2. 3R. Lipinski
  3. 24L. Quenabio
  4. 28S. Luyambula Biwa
  5. 17L. Vungele Vangi
  1. 1Q. Braat

Boulogne

3-4-3
  1. 10A. Hbouch
  2. 12J. Boyer
  3. 17B. Besic
  1. 14J. Bultel
  2. 19N. Binet
  3. 8J. Martin
  4. 11N. Fatar
  1. 18D. Thiam
  2. 25A. Kerriou
  3. 15A. Pinot
  1. 99Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Boulogne have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rodez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Saint Etienne(away)0-2Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2026Inter Club d'Escaldes(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Nancy(home)3-4Ligue 2
Sep 11, 2026Grenoble(home)0-1Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Metz(away)1-4Ligue 2
Boulogne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Sochaux(away)1-1Ligue 2
Oct 2, 2026Le Havre(away)1-6Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Nantes(home)1-2Ligue 2
Sep 11, 2026Clermont Foot(away)0-0Ligue 2
Sep 4, 2026Dijon(home)1-1Ligue 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rodez wins, 1 draw, 1 Boulogne win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Boulogne 1-2 RodezLigue 2
Aug 29, 2025Rodez 1-0 BoulogneLigue 2
Apr 11, 2019Rodez 3-1 BoulogneLigue 3
Nov 22, 2018Boulogne 0-3 RodezLigue 3
Mar 16, 2018Boulogne 2-0 RodezLigue 3
Oct 13, 2017Rodez 2-2 BoulogneLigue 3

Last archived meeting: Boulogne vs Rodez on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rodez1.91.8210/159/15
Boulogne0.71.358/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rodez sit 15th in Ligue 2 (7 points from 8 matches) and Boulogne sit 16th (6 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Rodez821514187
16Boulogne8062466

A question about Rodez vs Boulogne?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Boulogne?
The Footlab AI model makes Rodez the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Boulogne.
Where and when is Rodez vs Boulogne played?
Rodez vs Boulogne is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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