Metz vs Nantes: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nantes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Nantes?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Metz (1,885) and Nantes (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metz vs Nantes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nantes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Metz wins, 2 draws, 1 Nantes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Metz 0-0 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Nantes 0-2 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Nantes 0-2 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Metz 3-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Metz 0-0 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Nantes 2-0 Metz | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 10th in Ligue 2 (10 points from 8 matches) and Nantes sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Metz vs Nantes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Nantes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nantes.
- Where and when is Metz vs Nantes played?
- Metz vs Nantes is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.