Mexico vs Honduras: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 3, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Honduras?
Mexico won 1-0 on July 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′R. JiménezMexico
Official lineup for Mexico vs Honduras
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mexico
4-3-3- 10A. Vega
- 9R. Jiménez
- 25R. Alvarado
- 14M. Ruiz
- 4E. Álvarez
- 7G. Mora
- 26M. Chávez
- 5J. Vásquez
- 3C. Montes
- 22J. Araujo
- 1L. Malagón
Honduras
4-4-2- 9A. Lozano
- 23J. Álvarez
- 12R. Quioto
- 20D. Flores
- 5K. Arriaga
- 18D. Ramírez
- 8J. Rosales
- 3J. Martínez
- 2D. Maldonado
- 26Luis Santamaría Crisanto Peña
- 1E. Menjívar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Honduras have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Costa Rica(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Suriname(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Dominican Republic(home) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Türkiye(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2025 | Panama(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Curaçao(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | El Salvador(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Canada(away) | 0-6 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Antigua and Barbuda(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mexico wins, 0 draws, 2 Honduras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | Mexico 4-0 Honduras | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Honduras 2-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Mexico 2-0 Honduras | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Honduras 2-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2023 | Mexico 4-0 Honduras | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Honduras 0-1 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Honduras score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Honduras | 1.7 | 1.4 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Honduras sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MexicoGroup A | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | HondurasGroup B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Mexico vs Honduras?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy