USA vs Guatemala: result 2-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 2, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Guatemala?
USA won 2-1 on July 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′D. LunaUSA
- 15′D. LunaUSA
- 80′O. EscobarGuatemala
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Guatemala have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Costa Rica(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Haiti(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Switzerland(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Canada(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Guadeloupe(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Panama(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Jamaica(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Jamaica(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 USA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guatemala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | USA 4-0 Guatemala | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Guatemala 2-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guatemala score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Guatemala | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (9 points from 3 matches) and Guatemala sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy