Mexico vs USA: result 0-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueFinalKick-off on March 25, 2024 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs USA?
USA won 0-2 on March 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′T. AdamsUSA
- 63′G. ReynaUSA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; USA have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | Panama(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Colombia(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Honduras(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Honduras(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Germany(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | Jamaica(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Slovenia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Ghana(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mexico win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 USA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2023 | USA 3-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Apr 20, 2023 | USA 1-1 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mexico 0-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 13, 2021 | USA 2-0 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Aug 2, 2021 | USA 1-0 Mexico | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 7, 2021 | USA 3-2 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USA score 2.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 2.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| USA | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy