Match

Prato vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato

PratoMezzolara

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Prato vs Mezzolara?

Prato starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,562).

Prato win60 %
Draw25 %
Mezzolara win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Prato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Seravezza(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-1Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Grosseto(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Mezzolara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Progresso(home)1-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 28, 2024Forli(away)0-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 21, 2024Sammaurese(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 14, 2024Aglianese(home)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 7, 2024Sangiuliano City(away)1-2Serie D - Girone D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Prato win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mezzolara win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 21, 2024Prato 0-0 MezzolaraSerie D - Girone D
Sep 24, 2023Mezzolara 1-0 PratoSerie D - Girone D
Feb 26, 2023Prato 3-1 MezzolaraSerie D - Girone D
Oct 23, 2022Mezzolara 3-1 PratoSerie D - Girone D
Apr 23, 2022Mezzolara 0-0 PratoSerie D - Girone D
Dec 8, 2021Prato 1-2 MezzolaraSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Prato vs Mezzolara on Jan 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Prato1.60.6105/156/15
Mezzolara0.81.546/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Prato342059492963

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Prato vs Mezzolara?
The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Prato vs Mezzolara played?
Prato vs Mezzolara is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Prato and Mezzolara

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