Mgarr United vs Mtarfa: result 1-0 and analysis
Challenge CupRound of 16Kick-off on February 27, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
Full time
What was the result of Mgarr United vs Mtarfa?
Mgarr United won 1-0 on February 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′?Mgarr United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mgarr United have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mtarfa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Pietà Hotspurs(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Marsa(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Zurrieq(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Santa Lucía(away) | 3-5 | Challenge League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Lija Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lija Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Senglea Athletic(away) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Gudja United(away) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Zebbug Rangers(away) | 1-4 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mgarr United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mtarfa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Mtarfa 0-2 Mgarr United | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Mtarfa vs Mgarr United on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mgarr United score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mtarfa score 0.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgarr United | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Mtarfa | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy