Match

Milan II vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Milan IIReal Calepina

The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Milan II vs Real Calepina?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Milan II (1,764) and Real Calepina (1,689).

Milan II win53 %
Draw24 %
Real Calepina win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milan II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Milan II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chievo(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Vogherese(home)10-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Castellanzese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Varesina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Brusaporto(away)4-0Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Milan II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Calepina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Real Calepina 1-0 Milan IISerie D - Girone B
Nov 26, 2025Milan II 1-0 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Milan II on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Milan II2.11.148/158/15
Real Calepina1.11.258/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Milan II sit 4th in Serie D - Girone B (56 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Milan II3416810623756
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Milan II vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Milan II vs Real Calepina played?
Milan II vs Real Calepina is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Milan II and Real Calepina

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