Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte
The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,689) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Calepina win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Real Calepina 1-2 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Leon Monza e Brianza 2-0 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Leon Monza e Brianza 4-3 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Real Calepina 0-1 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.