Match

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano

Virtus Ciserano BergamoCaldiero Terme

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,691) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win35 %
Draw29 %
Caldiero Terme win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Castellanzese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Pavia(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Vogherese(home)6-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Varesina(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Sep 28, 2025Caldiero Terme 1-1 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Caldiero Terme 3-2 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Dec 16, 2023Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Jan 5, 2022Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Caldiero TermeCoppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0.91.147/154/15
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th in Serie D - Girone B (46 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Virtus Ciserano Bergamo34111310333146
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme played?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Caldiero Terme

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