Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,691) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Caldiero Terme 1-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Caldiero Terme 3-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Jan 5, 2022 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Caldiero Terme | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th in Serie D - Girone B (46 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
- Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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