Match

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano

Virtus Ciserano BergamoCaldiero Terme

The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caldiero Terme wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,674) and Caldiero Terme (1,764).

27%26%47%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo winDrawCaldiero Terme win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Not enough data to predict the Virtus Ciserano Bergamo lineup.

Caldiero Terme

Not enough data to predict the Caldiero Terme lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Milan II(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Nov 1, 2026Real Calepina(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 25, 2026Tritium(away)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Nibbiano & Valtidone(away)1-4Serie D - Girone B
Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Villa Valle(home)2-0Serie D - Girone B
Nov 1, 2026Rovato Vertovese(away)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Oct 28, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(home)0-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 24, 2026Brusaporto(home)2-0Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Piacenza(away)1-3Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo wins, 3 draws, 2 Caldiero Terme wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Sep 28, 2025Caldiero Terme 1-1 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Caldiero Terme 3-2 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Dec 16, 2023Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Jan 5, 2022Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Caldiero TermeCoppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1.31.539/157/15
Caldiero Terme1.91.268/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 13th in Serie D - Girone B (10 points from 10 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Caldiero Terme10433161515
13Virtus Ciserano Bergamo10244111310

A question about Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme?
The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme played?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Caldiero Terme

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