Where and when is Milan II vs Tritium played?

Milan II vs Tritium is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Milan II vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Milan II

Tritium

The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Milan II vs Tritium?

Milan II starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,546).

Milan II win59 %

Draw23 %

Tritium win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milan II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Milan II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Chievo(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026	Vogherese(home)	10-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Castellanzese(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Varesina(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Brusaporto(away)	4-0	Serie D - Girone B

Tritium
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Pro Palazzolo(home)	2-4	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024	Club Milano(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024	Desenzano Calvina(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024	Caravaggio(away)	2-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024	Arconatese(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Milan II	2.1	1.1	4	8/15	8/15
Tritium	0.7	1.6	2	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Milan II	34	16	8	10	62	37	56

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Milan II vs Tritium?: The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Tritium.
Where and when is Milan II vs Tritium played?: Milan II vs Tritium is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.