Match

Fiorenzuola vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda

FiorenzuolaTritium

The Footlab model makes Fiorenzuola the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Tritium?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Fiorenzuola (1,548) and Tritium (1,545).

Fiorenzuola win40 %
Draw28 %
Tritium win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fiorenzuola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Brusaporto(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2025Prato(home)3-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 27, 2025Tuttocuoio(away)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 17, 2025Lentigione(home)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 13, 2025Ravenna(away)0-3Serie D - Girone D
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fiorenzuola0.71.344/156/15
Tritium0.71.625/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Tritium?
The Footlab model makes Fiorenzuola the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tritium.
Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Tritium played?
Fiorenzuola vs Tritium is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fiorenzuola and Tritium

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