Piacenza vs Villa Valle: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piacenza vs Villa Valle?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Villa Valle have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Crema(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Piacenza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Villa Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | Piacenza 2-1 Villa Valle | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Villa Valle 1-2 Piacenza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Piacenza 2-0 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Piacenza vs Villa Valle on Nov 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piacenza | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Villa Valle?
- The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Villa Valle.
- Where and when is Piacenza vs Villa Valle played?
- Piacenza vs Villa Valle is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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