Match

Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero TermePavonese

The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caldiero Terme wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese?

On Elo ratings, Caldiero Terme has 1,778 points and Pavonese 1,719.

54%25%21%
Caldiero Terme winDrawPavonese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Caldiero Terme

Not enough data to predict the Caldiero Terme lineup.

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pavonese have 3, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Piacenza(away)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Pro Palazzolo(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Este(away)2-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Nibbiano & Valtidone(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Fiorenzuola(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Virtus Verona(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Tritium(home)3-2Serie D - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme1.81.4411/158/15
Pavonese1.01.413/73/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caldiero Terme sit 4th in Serie D - Girone B (12 points from 7 matches) and Pavonese sit 15th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Caldiero Terme733112912
15Pavonese6213597

A question about Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese?
The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese played?
Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Caldiero Terme and Pavonese

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