Millesimo vs Derthona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Millesimo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Derthona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millesimo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millesimo vs Derthona?
On Elo ratings, Millesimo has 1,640 points and Derthona 1,597.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millesimo vs Derthona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millesimo
Not enough data to predict the Millesimo lineup.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Millesimo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Derthona have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asti(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lascaris(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Millesimo wins, 0 draws, 1 Derthona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derthona 1-0 Millesimo | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Derthona vs Millesimo on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millesimo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millesimo | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millesimo sit 8th in Serie D - Girone A (9 points from 6 matches) and Derthona sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Millesimo vs Derthona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millesimo vs Derthona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millesimo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Derthona.
- Where and when is Millesimo vs Derthona played?
- Millesimo vs Derthona is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.