Gozzano vs Fezzanese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, Gozzano
The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fezzanese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gozzano vs Fezzanese?
Gozzano starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gozzano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fezzanese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Cairese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orvietana Calcio(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 17, 2025 | FC Siena(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 13, 2025 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Gozzano win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fezzanese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Fezzanese 1-2 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Gozzano 2-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Fezzanese 3-3 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Gozzano 3-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gozzano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fezzanese score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gozzano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Fezzanese | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gozzano vs Fezzanese?
- The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fezzanese.
- Where and when is Gozzano vs Fezzanese played?
- Gozzano vs Fezzanese is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.