Valenzana vs Asti: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale
The Footlab model makes Asti the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenzana vs Asti?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Valenzana (1,681) and Asti (1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenzana have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Asti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lavagnese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Valenzana win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Asti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Valenzana 1-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Asti 1-1 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Valenzana score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Asti score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenzana | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Asti | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenzana sit 8th in Serie D - Girone A (45 points from 34 matches) and Asti sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 45 |
| 16 | Asti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenzana vs Asti?
- The Footlab model makes Asti the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Valenzana vs Asti played?
- Valenzana vs Asti is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.