Millwall vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on December 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 69′J. KnightDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2020 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Birmingham(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2020 | Coventry(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Barnsley(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2020 | Millwall 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy