West Ham vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Stoke City?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (2,198 vs 1,942).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Ham vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Ham
4-2-3-1- 19Pablo
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 17M. Kanté
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Stoke City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 West Ham win, 4 draws, 1 Stoke City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2018 | West Ham 1-1 Stoke City | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Stoke City 0-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Stoke City 0-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2016 | West Ham 1-1 Stoke City | Premier League |
| May 15, 2016 | Stoke City 2-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2015 | West Ham 0-0 Stoke City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: West Ham vs Stoke City on Apr 16, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 2nd in Championship (22 points from 11 matches) and Stoke City sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
A question about West Ham vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Stoke City played?
- West Ham vs Stoke City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.