Millwall vs Watford: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Watford?
Millwall won 1-0 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 3′Z. FlemmingMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Watford have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Southampton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Ipswich(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Coventry(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Hull City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rotherham(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Norwich(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Leicester(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Southampton(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Watford 2-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Watford 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Millwall 3-0 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Watford 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Millwall 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Watford | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy