Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,831) and Doncaster (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Doncaster have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Doncaster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Doncaster 3-1 Milton Keynes Dons | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Doncaster 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Doncaster | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Doncaster 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Doncaster | League Two |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Doncaster | League One |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Milton Keynes Dons on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Doncaster | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 14th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Doncaster sit 20th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.