Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?
On Elo ratings, Milton Keynes Dons has 1,919 points and Doncaster 1,873.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 15C. Bramall
- 7D. Crowley
- 26B. Wiles
- 2G. Jones
- 5C. Goode
- 35C. Nelson
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Doncaster
3-4-2-1- 9B. Hanlan
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 8G. Broadbent
- 23J. Senior
- 10A. May
- 11L. Ayinde
- 12N. Byrne
- 3J. Husband
- 27S. Grehan
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Doncaster have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 3-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win, 1 draw, 4 Doncaster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Doncaster 3-1 Milton Keynes Dons | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Doncaster 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Doncaster | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Doncaster 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Doncaster | League Two |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Doncaster | League One |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Milton Keynes Dons on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Doncaster | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 22nd in League One (6 points from 7 matches) and Doncaster sit 21st (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.