Minaur Baia Mare vs Sânmartin: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, Baia Mare
The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sânmartin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minaur Baia Mare vs Sânmartin?
Minaur Baia Mare starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minaur Baia Mare have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sânmartin have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Unirea Dej(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 8, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Minaur Baia Mare win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sânmartin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Sânmartin 0-3 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 3-1 Sânmartin | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 3, 2024 | Minaur Baia Mare 2-0 Sânmartin | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Sânmartin 2-2 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Sânmartin 2-1 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Minaur Baia Mare 1-1 Sânmartin | Liga III - Serie 10 |
Last archived meeting: Sânmartin vs Minaur Baia Mare on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sânmartin score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sânmartin | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minaur Baia Mare sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 8 (47 points from 22 matches) and Sânmartin sit 2nd (45 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
| 2 | Sânmartin | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minaur Baia Mare vs Sânmartin?
- The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sânmartin.
- Where and when is Minaur Baia Mare vs Sânmartin played?
- Minaur Baia Mare vs Sânmartin is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.